Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026? image

Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026?

End 30-SEP-2026
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Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the official U3 unemployment rate for the United States, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is announced to be 4.6% or higher for any month within Q3 (July, August, September) 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.

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