Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026?

Ended 30-SEP-2026

9 News

This event has concludedThe market has been resolved and your position has been settled. Winning shares were settled at $1 per share, losing shares at $0 per share. A payout will be reflected in your account shortly.

Result

This market resolved No.

Trading closed on September 30, 2026. Winning shares paid $1 each; the outcome was determined by the rules summary below.

Outcome proposed: No

Final outcome: No

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the official U3 unemployment rate for the United States, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is announced to be 4.6% or higher for any month within Q3 (July, August, September) 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.

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Yes

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