Politics prediction markets

Every price here is a live probability set by traders. Open a market to see the full rules, the order book and the news behind the move.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Yes 74%No 26%

9 NewsEnd in 3 months$18 Vol.

Will FIFA initiate a formal process to suspend the Israel Football Association by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25%No 75%

65 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

1 NewsEnd in 12 days$15 Vol.

Who wins the New Mexico State Senate District 33 Special General Election?

Rex Wilson (R)

55%

YesNo

William Griffin (D)

45%

YesNo

8 NewsEnd in 1 month

Will NATO officially announce a new Secretary General by December 31, 2026?

Yes 60%No 40%

26 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will Zohran Mamdani-endorsed candidates win a majority of the contested NYC House general elections in November 2026?

Yes 71%No 29%

9 NewsEnd in 2 months

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%

13 NewsEnd in 11 days

Will the US Congress successfully override a Presidential veto on the Iran War Powers Resolution passed in June 2026?

Yes 15%No 85%

9 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will Donald Trump successfully initiate legislation to end birthright citizenship by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40%No 60%

9 NewsEnd in 3 months

Who will be the next German President?

Ilse Aigner

42%

YesNo

Julia Klöckner

15%

YesNo

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

13%

YesNo

Other

11%

Monika Grütters

Karin Prien

Boris Rhein

8 NewsEnd in 4 months

Who will win the Brazilian Presidential Election in October 2026?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

YesNo

Jair Bolsonaro

30%

YesNo

Tarcísio de Freitas

10%

YesNo

Simone Tebet

YesNo

Other Candidate

YesNo

9 NewsEnd in 15 days$0.15 Vol.

Will Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating exceed 65% by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

8 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will the Kennedy Center experience a 'partial closure' due to Trump administration directives by September 20, 2026?

Yes 87%No 13%

9 NewsEnd in 20 hours$47 Vol.

Will the Trump administration reverse its green card policy by December 31, 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%

9 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will the Canadian federal government introduce new gun control legislation before October 12, 2026, in response to the Toronto street festival shooting?

Yes 50%No 50%

9 NewsEnd in 23 days

Will the US-Iran military conflict escalate into a declared war before 2027?

Yes 35%No 65%

8 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will China initiate a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan before 2027?

Yes 15%No 85%

8 NewsEnd in 3 months

Will Hungary appoint a new President by October 1, 2026?

Yes 55%No 45%

9 NewsEnd in 12 days$20 Vol.

Will the US, Canada, and Mexico agree to a new or renewed trade pact by December 31, 2026?

Yes 65%No 35%

1 NewsEnd in 3 months

Who wins the 2026 Israeli Legislative Election (Knesset)?

Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu)

35%

YesNo

Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid)

25%

YesNo

National Unity (Benny Gantz)

20%

YesNo

Other Party

20%

YesNo

9 NewsEnd in 2 months