Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?

Ended 30-SEP-2026

$1.4 Vol.8 News

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Result

This market resolved Yes.

Trading closed on September 30, 2026. Winning shares paid $1 each; the outcome was determined by the rules summary below.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Final outcome: Yes

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the United States government or military publicly announces or is credibly reported by a consensus of major international news agencies (e.g., AP, Reuters, New York Times, Wall Street Journal) to have conducted direct military strikes against specific Iranian infrastructure (e.g., bridges, power plants, declared military bases within Iran) that are explicitly stated to be in retaliation or pre-emptive action beyond current or ongoing strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen, before September 30, 2026. Resolves NO if no such strikes are confirmed by the specified date.

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