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Will the US-Iran military conflict escalate into a declared war before 2027? image

Will the US-Iran military conflict escalate into a declared war before 2027?

End 31-DEC-2026
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Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the US Congress passes a formal declaration of war against Iran, OR if the UN Security Council passes a resolution recognizing a state of war between the US and Iran, before January 1, 2027 00:00 UTC, confirmed by official government records or major news outlets (AP, Reuters). Resolves NO if no formal declaration occurs, even if hostilities continue.

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026
$0 Vol.
0%
Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Ends 01-SEPT-2026
$0 Vol.
49%
Yes
Will China initiate a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan before 2027?

Will China initiate a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan before 2027?

Ends 31-DEC-2026
$0 Vol.
14%
Yes
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