Will the US-Iran military conflict escalate into a declared war before 2027?

End 31-DEC-2026

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Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the US Congress passes a formal declaration of war against Iran, OR if the UN Security Council passes a resolution recognizing a state of war between the US and Iran, before January 1, 2027 00:00 UTC, confirmed by official government records or major news outlets (AP, Reuters). Resolves NO if no formal declaration occurs, even if hostilities continue.

Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026

$1 Vol.

54%

US launches direct strikes

Will the US military attack Iran's 'Pickaxe Mountain' nuclear facility before September 1, 2026?

Ends 01-SEPT-2026

$17 Vol.

47%

US attacks Pickaxe Mountain

Will the US Congress successfully override a Presidential veto on the Iran War Powers Resolution passed in June 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026

15%

Veto Overridden

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