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Will China initiate a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan before 2027? image

Will China initiate a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan before 2027?

End 31-DEC-2026
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Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the People's Republic of China initiates a military blockade or invasion of Taiwan, officially confirmed by the governments of Taiwan (english.president.gov.tw), the United States (state.gov), or verified by at least two of the following major international news organizations: Reuters (reuters.com), The Associated Press (apnews.com), or the British Broadcasting Corporation (bbc.com/news). A 'military blockade' is defined as a sustained naval or aerial encirclement preventing commercial traffic. An 'invasion' is defined as significant military forces crossing Taiwan's borders. Resolves NO otherwise.

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