Will the US military attack Iran's 'Pickaxe Mountain' nuclear facility before September 1, 2026?

Ended 01-SEP-2026

$17 Vol.6 News

This event has concludedThe market has been resolved and your position has been settled. Winning shares were settled at $1 per share, losing shares at $0 per share. A payout will be reflected in your account shortly.

Outcome proposed: No

Final outcome: No

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the United States military, as confirmed by an official statement from the White House, Department of Defense, or through reports by AP or Reuters news wires, conducts a kinetic military strike targeting Iran's 'Pickaxe Mountain' nuclear facility at any point before September 1, 2026, 23:59:00Z UTC. Resolves NO if no such strike is reported or confirmed by this date. In case of ambiguity, official US government statements will be prioritized.

Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026

$1 Vol.

54%

US launches direct strikes

Will the US Congress successfully override a Presidential veto on the Iran War Powers Resolution passed in June 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026

$0 Vol.

15%

Veto Overridden

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026

$0 Vol.

US and Iran sign a new peace agreement

Comments

Top Holders

Activity