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Will OpenAI officially confirm accepting an investment or stake from the US government (or a US government-controlled entity) by December 31, 2026? image

Will OpenAI officially confirm accepting an investment or stake from the US government (or a US government-controlled entity) by December 31, 2026?

End 31-DEC-2026
10 News
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Trade No
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Rules Summary

Resolves YES if OpenAI (openai.com) or the US government (whitehouse.gov, Treasury.gov, Commerce.gov) publicly announces that the US government or a US government-controlled entity has made an investment in or acquired a stake in OpenAI, as confirmed by an official press release or by AP/Reuters newswires, by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, resolves NO.

Will Microsoft announce a new significant equity investment in OpenAI (exceeding $5 billion) or an acquisition of OpenAI before December 31, 2026?

Will Microsoft announce a new significant equity investment in OpenAI (exceeding $5 billion) or an acquisition of OpenAI before December 31, 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026
70%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a new foundational LLM (GPT-5.7 or higher) before January 1, 2027?

Will OpenAI release a new foundational LLM (GPT-5.7 or higher) before January 1, 2027?

Ends 01-JAN-2027
65%
OpenAI releases GPT-5.7+
Will a major AI company release a new flagship large language model (LLM) to the general public by year-end 2026?

Will a major AI company release a new flagship large language model (LLM) to the general public by year-end 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026
50%
New flagship LLM released
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