Will Microsoft announce a new significant equity investment in OpenAI (exceeding $5 billion) or an acquisition of OpenAI before December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026
10 newsOutcome
% Chance
Yes$0.00 Vol.
69%
No$0.00 Vol.
29%
Rules Summary
Resolves YES if Microsoft or OpenAI issues an official press release or makes a regulatory filing (e.g., SEC filing) announcing a new equity investment by Microsoft in OpenAI that is explicitly stated to be greater than $5 billion USD, or an outright acquisition of OpenAI by Microsoft, before December 31, 2026, 23:59:00Z. This must be a new investment or acquisition, not a restatement or revaluation of existing stakes. Confirmation by major financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Reuters) citing official sources will be accepted. Resolves NO otherwise.
Will OpenAI officially confirm accepting an investment or stake from the US government (or a US government-controlled entity) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026
54%
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