Will SpaceX's Starship achieve orbit in its next test flight?
Ended Oct 30, 2026
10 newsThis event has concludedThe market has been resolved and your position has been settled. Winning shares were settled at $1 per share, losing shares at $0 per share. A payout will be reflected in your account shortly.
Result
This market resolved Yes.
Trading closed on October 30, 2026. Winning shares paid $1 each; the outcome was determined by the rules summary below.
Outcome proposed: Yes
Final outcome: Yes
Rules Summary
Resolves YES if the Starship vehicle reaches orbit and completes a successful re-entry, as confirmed by SpaceX's official X account or a live broadcast on spacex.com. Resolves NO if the mission fails to reach orbit or is scrubbed.
Will SpaceX Starship complete a fully successful orbital flight, including booster and ship soft splashdown/landing, by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026
47%
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