Will SpaceX's Starship achieve orbit in its next test flight?

End 30-OCT-2026

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Resolves YES if the Starship vehicle reaches orbit and completes a successful re-entry, as confirmed by SpaceX's official X account or a live broadcast on spacex.com. Resolves NO if the mission fails to reach orbit or is scrubbed.

Will SpaceX Starship complete a fully successful orbital flight, including booster and ship soft splashdown/landing, by December 31, 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026

$0 Vol.

48%

Starship completes fully successful orbital flight

Will NASA's Artemis III mission successfully land astronauts on the Moon's South Pole by December 31, 2026?

Ends 31-DEC-2026

$0 Vol.

40%

Artemis III lands on Moon by 2026

Will the NASA Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope successfully launch by September 6, 2026?

Ends 06-SEPT-2026

$66 Vol.

92%

Successful Roman Space Telescope launch

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