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Will US sanctions on Iranian oil exports be formally waived or lifted by August 31, 2026, as part of the US-Iran deal? image

Will US sanctions on Iranian oil exports be formally waived or lifted by August 31, 2026, as part of the US-Iran deal?

Ended 31-AUG-2026
2
$5 Vol.8 News
This event has concludedThe market has been resolved and your position has been settled. Winning shares were settled at $1 per share, losing shares at $0 per share. A payout will be reflected in your account shortly.
Outcome proposed: No
Final outcome: No

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the United States government formally announces the waiver or lifting of sanctions specifically targeting Iranian oil exports by August 31, 2026, citing the US-Iran deal as the reason, per an official statement from the US Department of State, Treasury, or the White House. Resolves NO if no such announcement is made by the specified date, or if previous waivers are revoked. If the US-Iran deal is officially declared null and void by the US government before August 31, 2026, this market resolves NO.

Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?

Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026
$1 Vol.
54%
US launches direct strikes
Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Ends 30-SEPT-2026
$0 Vol.
0%
US and Iran sign a new peace agreement
Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Ends 01-SEPT-2026
$0 Vol.
50%
US Congress approves Trump-Iran deal
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