Will US sanctions on Iranian oil exports be formally waived or lifted by August 31, 2026, as part of the US-Iran deal?
Result
This market resolved No.
Trading closed on August 31, 2026. Winning shares paid $1 each; the outcome was determined by the rules summary below.
Rules Summary
Resolves YES if the United States government formally announces the waiver or lifting of sanctions specifically targeting Iranian oil exports by August 31, 2026, citing the US-Iran deal as the reason, per an official statement from the US Department of State, Treasury, or the White House. Resolves NO if no such announcement is made by the specified date, or if previous waivers are revoked. If the US-Iran deal is officially declared null and void by the US government before August 31, 2026, this market resolves NO.
Will the US launch direct military strikes against Iranian infrastructure (beyond current Houthi-related strikes) before September 30, 2026?