Fed funds rate at end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027
10 newsOutcome
% Chance
4.25% or higher$0 Vol.
65%
4.00%$0 Vol.
15%
3.50% or lower$0 Vol.
6%
3.75%$0 Vol.
6%
Rules Summary
Resolves to the band that contains the upper bound of the federal funds target range on 31 December 2027, as published by the Federal Reserve's official website (federalreserve.gov). Specifically, if the upper bound is 3.50% or lower, it resolves to '3.50% or lower'. If the upper bound is 3.75%, it resolves to '3.75%'. If the upper bound is 4.00%, it resolves to '4.00%'. If the upper bound is 4.25% or higher, it resolves to '4.25% or higher'. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate instead of a range, that rate will be considered the upper bound.
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