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Will the price of Brent Crude oil close below $70.00 USD per barrel on July 31, 2026?

Will the price of Brent Crude oil close below $70.00 USD per barrel on July 31, 2026?

48% Chance
Yes 48%No 52%

Oil prices have experienced significant volatility, recently dropping to levels not observed since the onset of the US-Israel conflict with Iran, partly influenced by ongoing US-Iran talks. This market tracks whether Brent Crude will conclude July with a closing price under $70.00 USD per barrel.

All Markets

Will Rome, Italy record a temperature of 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) or higher at any point in July 2026?

Will Rome, Italy record a temperature of 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) or higher at any point in July 2026?

Yes 73%No 27%
End in 11 days$18 Vol.
Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Yes 51%No 49%
6 NewsEnd in 1 month$3.8 Vol.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Yes 74%No 26%
6 NewsEnd in 5 months$14 Vol.
Will BTS announce specific dates for their 2026 world tour or new album details by August 31, 2026?

Will BTS announce specific dates for their 2026 world tour or new album details by August 31, 2026?

Yes 75%No 25%
End in 1 month
Will Elon Musk remain CEO of Tesla by the end of 2026?

Will Elon Musk remain CEO of Tesla by the end of 2026?

Yes 85%No 15%
End in 5 months
Will FIFA initiate a formal process to suspend the Israel Football Association by December 31, 2026?

Will FIFA initiate a formal process to suspend the Israel Football Association by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25%No 75%
39 NewsEnd in 5 months
Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%
End in 5 months
Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
1 NewsEnd in 2 months$15 Vol.
Who wins the 2026/27 NBA Championship?

Who wins the 2026/27 NBA Championship?

Boston Celtics

25%

YesNo

Denver Nuggets

20%

YesNo

Oklahoma City Thunder

18%

YesNo

Dallas Mavericks

12%

YesNo

Other

10%

YesNo

New York Knicks

8%

YesNo

Milwaukee Bucks

7%

YesNo
End in 11 months
Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
6 NewsEnd in 1 month
Will Bolivia officially integrate Tether's USDT into its national payments system by December 31, 2026?

Will Bolivia officially integrate Tether's USDT into its national payments system by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45%No 55%
End in 5 months$16 Vol.
Will the NASA Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope successfully launch by September 6, 2026?

Will the NASA Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope successfully launch by September 6, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%
End in 1 month
Will South Korea officially announce a government plan with a stated total investment target exceeding $1 Trillion USD for AI & Semiconductors by December 31, 2027?

Will South Korea officially announce a government plan with a stated total investment target exceeding $1 Trillion USD for AI & Semiconductors by December 31, 2027?

Yes 85%No 15%
1 NewsEnd in 1 year
Will Nvidia's market capitalization exceed $5 trillion by December 31, 2026?

Will Nvidia's market capitalization exceed $5 trillion by December 31, 2026?

Yes 35%No 65%
End in 5 months
Who will win the 2027 Super Bowl?

Who will win the 2027 Super Bowl?

Other

47%

YesNo

Kansas City Chiefs

15%

YesNo

San Francisco 49ers

12%

YesNo

Philadelphia Eagles

10%

YesNo

Cincinnati Bengals

8%

YesNo

Detroit Lions

8%

YesNo
16 NewsEnd in 6 months
Will Conor McGregor announce his retirement from mixed martial arts by December 31, 2026?

Will Conor McGregor announce his retirement from mixed martial arts by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30%No 70%
3 NewsEnd in 5 months$11 Vol.
Will Tim Cook still be CEO of Apple at the end of 2026?

Will Tim Cook still be CEO of Apple at the end of 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%
End in 5 months
Who wins the New Mexico State Senate District 33 Special General Election?

Who wins the New Mexico State Senate District 33 Special General Election?

Rex Wilson (R)

55%

YesNo

William Griffin (D)

45%

YesNo
4 NewsEnd in 3 months
Who will win the 2026 MLS All-Star Game?

Who will win the 2026 MLS All-Star Game?

MLS All-Stars win

55%

YesNo

Opponent Team wins

45%

YesNo
16 NewsEnd in 6 days
Will Zohran Mamdani-endorsed candidates win a majority of the contested NYC House general elections in November 2026?

Will Zohran Mamdani-endorsed candidates win a majority of the contested NYC House general elections in November 2026?

Yes 71%No 29%
6 NewsEnd in 4 months