Outpoll | Prediction Market Platform for Real-World Events

Who will win the Brazilian Presidential Election in October 2026?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45%

Jair Bolsonaro30%

Tarcísio de Freitas10%

politicsLegislationgovernment

Will Donald Trump successfully initiate legislation to end birthright citizenship by December 31, 2026?

59d ago

politicsLegislationgovernment

Will the Canadian federal government introduce new gun control legislation before October 12, 2026, in response to the Toronto street festival shooting?

49d ago

politicsGovernments & Cabinetsgovernment

Will the Trump administration reverse its green card policy by December 31, 2026?

96d ago

politicsGovernments & Cabinetsnato

Will NATO officially announce a new Secretary General by December 31, 2026?

28d ago

politicsElectionsgovernment

Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Midterm Elections?

48d ago

$0.146 Vol.

All Markets

Who wins the 2026/27 La Liga?

Real Madrid

45%

YesNo

Athletic Bilbao

30%

YesNo

Barcelona

19%

YesNo

Atletico Madrid

YesNo

20 NewsEnd in 8 months

Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Yes 51%No 49%

15 NewsEnd in 12 days$34 Vol.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Yes 74%No 26%

9 NewsEnd in 4 months$16 Vol.

Who wins the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?

Any Other Rider

37%

YesNo

Tadej Pogacar

20%

YesNo

Jonas Vingegaard

16%

YesNo

Primoz Roglic

14%

YesNo

Remco Evenepoel

YesNo

Juan Ayuso

YesNo

5 NewsEnd in 12 days

Who wins FC Porto vs Manchester City?

Manchester City

55%

YesNo

Draw

30%

YesNo

FC Porto

15%

YesNo

21 NewsEnd in 7 days

Serie A 2026/27 Top Scorer (Capocannoniere)

Victor Osimhen

Lautaro Martínez

Dušan Vlahović

Marcus Rashford

Rasmus Højlund

Ademola Lookman

Mateo Retegui

Other

21 NewsEnd in 8 months

Will the Bank of Korea hike rates again in 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

2 NewsEnd in 4 months

Will Elon Musk remain CEO of Tesla by the end of 2026?

Yes 85%No 15%

End in 4 months$0.058 Vol.

Will FIFA initiate a formal process to suspend the Israel Football Association by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25%No 75%

65 NewsEnd in 4 months

Will 'Grand Theft Auto VI' be released before December 1, 2026?

Yes 65%No 35%

2 NewsEnd in 3 months

K League 1 2026 Champion?

Ulsan HD

YesNo

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

FC Seoul

Pohang Steelers

Gwangju FC

Other

End in 3 months

Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%

End in 4 months

Will NASA's Artemis III mission successfully land astronauts on the Moon's South Pole by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40%No 60%

8 NewsEnd in 4 months

Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

1 NewsEnd in 1 month$15 Vol.

Who wins the 2026/27 NBA Championship?

Boston Celtics

25%

YesNo

Denver Nuggets

20%

YesNo

Oklahoma City Thunder

18%

YesNo

Dallas Mavericks

12%

YesNo

Other

10%

YesNo

New York Knicks

YesNo

Milwaukee Bucks

YesNo

End in 9 months

Will Bolivia officially integrate Tether's USDT into its national payments system by December 31, 2026?

Yes 47%No 53%

End in 4 months$18 Vol.

Will the NASA Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope successfully launch by September 6, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%

End in 5 days

Will a foldable iPhone be officially announced at Apple's September 2026 event?

Apple announces a foldable iPhone

60%

YesNo

Apple does not announce a foldable iPhone

40%

YesNo

22 NewsEnd in 8 days

Will South Korea officially announce a government plan with a stated total investment target exceeding $1 Trillion USD for AI & Semiconductors by December 31, 2027?

Yes 85%No 15%

1 NewsEnd in 1 year

2026-27 La Liga Top Scorer

Kylian Mbappé

Erling Haaland

Robert Lewandowski

Vinicius Junior

Julián Álvarez

Lamine Yamal

Alexander Sørloth

No winner

24 NewsEnd in 8 months