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Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to succeed Keir Starmer?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to succeed Keir Starmer?

End 01-SEP-2026
Andy Burnham94%
Shabana Mahmood0%
Yvette Cooper0%

Keir Starmer announced his resignation as Prime Minister and leader of the Labour Party on June 22, 2026, triggering a leadership contest. A new leader is expected to be in place by September 1, 2026, when Parliament returns from its summer recess. This event will resolve to the individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister following Starmer's departure.

Andy Burnham 94%
Shabana Mahmood <1%
Yvette Cooper <1%

All Markets

Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
0 NewsEnd in 2 months$0 Vol.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Yes 74%No 26%
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Will Lionel Messi become the all-time leading scorer in FIFA World Cup history?

Will Lionel Messi become the all-time leading scorer in FIFA World Cup history?

Yes 95%No 5%
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Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%
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Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
0 NewsEnd in 3 months$0 Vol.
Will the 2026 World Cup final have the highest global TV viewership for a single event in history?

Will the 2026 World Cup final have the highest global TV viewership for a single event in history?

Yes 0%No 100%
0 NewsEnd in 27 days$0 Vol.
Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
0 NewsEnd in 2 months$0 Vol.
Who will score the most goals at the FIFA World Cup 2026?

Who will score the most goals at the FIFA World Cup 2026?

Lionel Messi

75%

YesNo

Any other player

10%

YesNo

Kylian Mbappé

3%

YesNo

Harry Kane

2%

YesNo

Erling Haaland

2%

YesNo

Vinícius Júnior

2%

YesNo

Mikel Oyarzabal

2%

YesNo

Lamine Yamal

2%

YesNo

Cristiano Ronaldo

2%

YesNo
0 NewsEnd in 26 days$0 Vol.
Will Zohran Mamdani-endorsed candidates win a majority of the contested NYC House general elections in November 2026?

Will Zohran Mamdani-endorsed candidates win a majority of the contested NYC House general elections in November 2026?

Yes 71%No 29%
0 NewsEnd in 5 months$0 Vol.
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 18%No 82%
2 NewsEnd in 6 months$56 Vol.
Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Will the US and Iran sign a new peace agreement by September 30, 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%
0 NewsEnd in 3 months$0 Vol.
Will the US Congress successfully override a Presidential veto on the Iran War Powers Resolution passed in June 2026?

Will the US Congress successfully override a Presidential veto on the Iran War Powers Resolution passed in June 2026?

Yes 15%No 85%
0 NewsEnd in 6 months$0 Vol.
Will Bitcoin's price close above $75,000 on at least one day by July 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin's price close above $75,000 on at least one day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 29%No 71%
0 NewsEnd in 1 month$0 Vol.
Will WTI crude oil close above $110/barrel at any point by August 31, 2026?

Will WTI crude oil close above $110/barrel at any point by August 31, 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%
0 NewsEnd in 2 months$0 Vol.
FIFA World Cup 2026

FIFA World Cup 2026

Spain

17%

YesNo

Brazil

15%

YesNo

France

13%

YesNo

Netherlands

12%

YesNo

Germany

11%

YesNo

Portugal

11%

YesNo

Argenitina

6%

YesNo

Croatia

5%

YesNo

England

5%

YesNo

Italy

3%

YesNo

USA

2%

YesNo

Ecuador

0%

YesNo

Egypt

0%

YesNo

Algeria

0%

YesNo

Canada

0%

YesNo

Cape Verde

0%

YesNo

Austria

0%

YesNo

Belguim

0%

YesNo

Ghana

0%

YesNo

Haiti

0%

YesNo

Ivory Coast

0%

YesNo

Japan

0%

YesNo

Jordan

0%

YesNo

Mexico

0%

YesNo

Uruguay

0%

YesNo

Uzbekistan

0%

YesNo

Senegal

0%

YesNo

South Africa

0%

YesNo

Switzerland

0%

YesNo

Tunisia

0%

YesNo

Morocco

0%

YesNo

Australia

0%

YesNo

Saudi Arabia

0%

YesNo

Scotland

0%

YesNo

New Zealand

0%

YesNo

Qatar

0%

YesNo

Norway

0%

YesNo

Paraguay

0%

YesNo
4 NewsEnd in 26 days$0 Vol.
Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026?

Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%
0 NewsEnd in 3 months$0 Vol.
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to succeed Keir Starmer?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to succeed Keir Starmer?

Andy Burnham

94%

YesNo

Wes Streeting

0%

YesNo

Angela Rayner

0%

YesNo

Shabana Mahmood

0%

YesNo

Darren Jones

0%

YesNo

Ed Miliband

0%

YesNo

Yvette Cooper

0%

YesNo
0 NewsEnd in 2 months$0 Vol.
Will the Kennedy Center experience a 'partial closure' due to Trump administration directives by September 20, 2026?

Will the Kennedy Center experience a 'partial closure' due to Trump administration directives by September 20, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
0 NewsEnd in 2 months$0 Vol.
Will the Trump administration reverse its green card policy by December 31, 2026?

Will the Trump administration reverse its green card policy by December 31, 2026?

Yes 0%No 100%
0 NewsEnd in 6 months$0 Vol.
Will a major AI company release a new flagship large language model (LLM) to the general public by year-end 2026?

Will a major AI company release a new flagship large language model (LLM) to the general public by year-end 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%
0 NewsEnd in 6 months$0 Vol.