Outpoll | Prediction Market Platform for Real-World Events

Who will win the Brazilian Presidential Election in October 2026?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45%

Jair Bolsonaro30%

Tarcísio de Freitas10%

Brazil is scheduled to hold its general elections in October 2026, including the presidential race. This market focuses on the outcome of the presidential vote.

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Will Rome, Italy record a temperature of 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) or higher at any point in July 2026?

Yes 73%No 27%

End in 12 days$18 Vol.

Will Mirra Andreeva win a second Grand Slam title in 2026?

Yes 51%No 49%

5 NewsEnd in 1 month$3.8 Vol.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel until at least December 31, 2026?

Yes 74%No 26%

6 NewsEnd in 5 months$14 Vol.

Will BTS announce specific dates for their 2026 world tour or new album details by August 31, 2026?

Yes 75%No 25%

End in 1 month

Will Elon Musk remain CEO of Tesla by the end of 2026?

Yes 85%No 15%

End in 5 months

Will FIFA initiate a formal process to suspend the Israel Football Association by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25%No 75%

39 NewsEnd in 5 months

Will Meta publicly launch a standalone prediction market product ('Arena') by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%

End in 5 months

Will the Trump administration successfully implement fast-track deportations without being blocked by a higher court by October 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

1 NewsEnd in 2 months

Will the US Congress approve the initial Trump-Iran deal by September 1, 2026?

Yes 50%No 50%

6 NewsEnd in 1 month

Will Bolivia officially integrate Tether's USDT into its national payments system by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30%No 70%

End in 5 months

Will the NASA Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope successfully launch by September 6, 2026?

Yes 80%No 20%

End in 1 month

Will South Korea officially announce a government plan with a stated total investment target exceeding $1 Trillion USD for AI & Semiconductors by December 31, 2027?

Yes 85%No 15%

1 NewsEnd in 1 year