Outpoll Weekly Recap: Sport (December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026)

1 day ago7 min read

Alright, hoop heads and sports fans, buckle up—this week was a wild ride that felt more like a season finale than the first week of January. Let’s start with the NBA, because, of course.The Denver Nuggets, looking like they’ve got a serious chip on their shoulder, went 4-0 this week, and the prediction markets are treating Nikola Jokić like he’s the cheat code we all know he is; his MVP odds tightened from +180 to -110, which is basically the market saying, 'Yeah, just give him the trophy now. ' Meanwhile, over in the Premier League, the title race got a serious shake-up.Manchester City’s 2-1 loss to a scrappy Aston Villa side—thanks to a late Ollie Watkins winner—sent shockwaves. The prediction probability for City winning the league dropped a whopping 18%, while Arsenal, who grinded out a 1-0 win, saw their stock rise.It’s the kind of drama we live for. In the NFL, with the playoffs looming, the big mover was the San Francisco 49ers.After dismantling their final regular-season opponent, their Super Bowl odds jumped to the shortest they’ve been all year, with the prediction markets clearly buying into the Brock Purdy redemption arc. On the tennis courts, the United Cup gave us a glimpse of the future, with young guns like Carlos Alcaraz and Coco Gauff dominating, making their Australian Open odds look like a steal.The underlying trend? Data and momentum are everything right now. Teams and players with strong analytics and a hot streak are getting all the love from the smart money, while any perceived weakness is getting punished instantly. It’s a week that reminded us that in sports, you’re only as good as your last game—and the markets are watching every single second.

#Weekly recap