Will the US unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.5% at any point in Q3 2026?

已结束 30-SEP-2026

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规则摘要

Resolves YES if the official U3 unemployment rate for the United States, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is announced to be 4.6% or higher for any month within Q3 (July, August, September) 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.

US recession by end of 2026?

结束 31-DEC-2026

$94 Vol.

21%

US recession by end of 2026?

Will Microsoft announce a new significant equity investment in OpenAI (exceeding $5 billion) or an acquisition of OpenAI before December 31, 2026?

结束 31-DEC-2026

$0 Vol.

70%

Yes

Will the US Dollar weaken against a basket of major currencies by the end of 2026?

结束 31-DEC-2026

$0 Vol.

45%

US Dollar weakens by end of 2026

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