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이란 전쟁은 끝나지 않고 새로운 양상으로 변모 중

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트럼프 행정부의 이란 휴전 연장은 테헤란의 '분열된 정부'에 대한 대응으로 포장되었으나, 이는 평화로 가는 한 걸음이라기보다는 위험하게 얼어붙은 교착 상태에 빠진 전쟁에서의 전술적 재조정에 가깝습니다. 정치적 위험의 렌즈를 통해 바라보면, 이번 조치는 공개적인 군사 작전에서 관리된 긴장의 장기화 단계로의 전환을 의미하며, 주요 전장은 이제 호르무즈 해협과 같은 전략적 해상 교통로—글로벌 에너지 흐름의 영원한 발화점—가 될 수 있습니다. 동시에, 정치적으로 임명된 인사들이 주도하여 국방부가 군인들에게 독감 예방접종을 선택 사항으로 만든 결정은 불가침의 군사 준비태세보다 이념적 전투를 우선시하는 내부 균열의 심화를 보여줍니다. 분석가들은 이러한 병행 발전들을 고립된 정책 변화가 아닌, 더 광범위한 전략적 모호성의 상호 연결된 징후로 봅니다: 미군은 확전 위험으로 가득한 복잡한 해외 철수와 제도적 응집력을 약화시키는 논쟁적인 국내 정책 전쟁을 동시에 헤쳐나가고 있습니다. 장기적인 결과는 이중 전선의 취약성입니다—갈등하는 결의를 시그널링함으로써 해외 억지력을 훼손하는 한편, 국내에서는 정치적 움직임이 핵심 방어 프로토콜에 영향을 미치도록 허용함으로써 미래 위기에 대한 불안정한 선례를 만듭니다. 이 갈등의 새로운 단계는 전투의 부재가 아니라, 불안정하고 은밀하게 끓어오르는 대치로의 변형으로 정의되며, 다음 불씨는 해상 사고나 내부 정책 붕괴에서 비롯될 수 있습니다.
2주 전
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🔥JUST IN: Iran wants to charge tanker transit fees in Bitcoin, reports the Financial Times. It is demanding $1 in crypto for every barrel of oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz

🔥JUST IN: Iran wants to charge tanker transit fees in Bitcoin, reports the Financial Times. It is demanding $1 in crypto for every barrel of oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz https://t.co/xZp2AuD6Tp
27일 전

This is the core issue with the current “peace process”: Israel cannot allow Iran to remain in its current form or future potential. An unsanctioned Iran earning massive revenue from resources, controlling the strait, with a large population and strong scientific base would

This is the core issue with the current “peace process”: Israel cannot allow Iran to remain in its current form or future potential. 

An unsanctioned Iran earning massive revenue from resources, controlling the strait, with a large population and strong scientific base would https://t.co/FnI1nFPlYn
27일 전

⚡️ Foreign Minister of Bahrain: Iran does not have the right to close the Strait of Hormuz Nice joke, Mister Minister

⚡️ Foreign Minister of Bahrain: Iran does not have the right to close the Strait of Hormuz

Nice joke, Mister Minister https://t.co/pD1L6wz4Gs
27일 전

JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes

JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes https://t.co/QhxeD2fRhb
JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes https://t.co/QhxeD2fRhb
34일 전

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Iran is prepared to fight for at least 6 months. That timing would coincide with the US midterm elections. 6 months of war would guarantee victory for the Democratic Party, turn Trump into a lame duck, and effectively eliminate

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Iran is prepared to fight for at least 6 months.

That timing would coincide with the US midterm elections. 6 months of war would guarantee victory for the Democratic Party, turn Trump into a lame duck, and effectively eliminate https://t.co/AzYJX5ML8x
34일 전

That’s exactly how a war would break out between the U.S. and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other side

That’s exactly how a war would break out between the U.S. and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other side https://t.co/hKRkIaFukr
47일 전

It’s amusing, but at the same time, it’s quite sad

It’s amusing, but at the same time, it’s quite sad https://t.co/Qe0rYJrRSZ
48일 전

Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than before the war began — WSJ. UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia - next time think with your heads, when deciding whether to host US military bases

54일 전

🔥JUST IN: Iran wants to charge tanker transit fees in Bitcoin, reports the Financial Times. It is demanding $1 in crypto for every barrel of oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz

🔥JUST IN: Iran wants to charge tanker transit fees in Bitcoin, reports the Financial Times. It is demanding $1 in crypto for every barrel of oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz https://t.co/xZp2AuD6Tp
27일 전

This is the core issue with the current “peace process”: Israel cannot allow Iran to remain in its current form or future potential. An unsanctioned Iran earning massive revenue from resources, controlling the strait, with a large population and strong scientific base would

This is the core issue with the current “peace process”: Israel cannot allow Iran to remain in its current form or future potential. 

An unsanctioned Iran earning massive revenue from resources, controlling the strait, with a large population and strong scientific base would https://t.co/FnI1nFPlYn
27일 전

⚡️ Foreign Minister of Bahrain: Iran does not have the right to close the Strait of Hormuz Nice joke, Mister Minister

⚡️ Foreign Minister of Bahrain: Iran does not have the right to close the Strait of Hormuz

Nice joke, Mister Minister https://t.co/pD1L6wz4Gs
27일 전

JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes

JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes https://t.co/QhxeD2fRhb
JUST IN: Google researchers indicate that quantum computers may be able to crack Bitcoin private keys in as little as 9 minutes https://t.co/QhxeD2fRhb
34일 전

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Iran is prepared to fight for at least 6 months. That timing would coincide with the US midterm elections. 6 months of war would guarantee victory for the Democratic Party, turn Trump into a lame duck, and effectively eliminate

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Iran is prepared to fight for at least 6 months.

That timing would coincide with the US midterm elections. 6 months of war would guarantee victory for the Democratic Party, turn Trump into a lame duck, and effectively eliminate https://t.co/AzYJX5ML8x
34일 전

That’s exactly how a war would break out between the U.S. and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other side

That’s exactly how a war would break out between the U.S. and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other side https://t.co/hKRkIaFukr
47일 전

It’s amusing, but at the same time, it’s quite sad

It’s amusing, but at the same time, it’s quite sad https://t.co/Qe0rYJrRSZ
48일 전

Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than before the war began — WSJ. UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia - next time think with your heads, when deciding whether to host US military bases

54일 전
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