Politicsconflict & defenseMilitary Operations
Post-War Gaza Power Vacuum Sparks Scramble Among Competing Anti-Hamas Factions
A complex power struggle is emerging in Gaza as the potential downfall of Hamas's governance creates a vacuum, drawing in a diverse array of anti-Hamas factions vying for influence. These groups, which include established clans and newly formed armed coalitions, are primarily unified by their opposition to Hamas but are deeply divided over their visions for Gaza's future and their relationships with external powers like Israel, Egypt, and the Palestinian Authority.The situation is marked by a treacherous diplomatic landscape, where a faction receiving covert support from one Israeli agency may be distrusted by another, all while maintaining fragile ties with Egyptian intelligence. This intricate dynamic mirrors historical post-conflict scenarios, such as Iraq and Afghanistan, where alliances against a common enemy often collapsed into internal rivalries that fueled long-term instability.For international planners, the central challenge is assessing whether any of these factions can achieve the popular legitimacy and operational strength needed to govern without devolving into an illegitimate puppet state or a new front for militancy. The risks are high, with a strong potential for a protracted, low-intensity conflict that could replace Hamas's formal structure with a decentralized insurgency or a brutal civil war among the victors.The involvement of the Palestinian Authority, promoted by the U. S.as a governing solution, is further complicated by its lack of credibility in Gaza and strained relations with local actors. The final outcome will hinge not only on military results but also on shadowy negotiations, tribal loyalties, economic deals, and which coalition can deliver security and reconstruction faster than its rivals can mobilize against it.
#Gaza
#Hamas
#armed groups
#Israel
#peace plan
#conflict
#featured
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